Monday, July 13, 2020

The Fed says Stocks are Going Higher!




How can that be? The market has been on a tear lately so surely it's due for a pullback.

Many investors are sitting on the sidelines with cash just ready to storm in and start buying once this inevitable market crash #2 starts.

Is that what's going to happen and is it the right call?

Shouldn't we be shorting Tesla instead? I mean who is buying TSLA at these levels?

I try not to listen to all the prognosticators telling us they sold all their stocks because the charts say so. Mostly these amateurs can be found on Youtube and on various FB groups. 

I try to listen to what most economic experts are saying and telling us what they are doing and make a judgement from there. The market is definitely NOT based on fundamentals lately.

WHY HIGHER FROM HERE

We are now entering earnings season. They are saying this is going to be the worst report since the meltdown in March. These abysmal earnings are already baked in. They have to be because the Nasdaq is making record high after record high. This is how Wall Street works. So expect bad news and the street to then say; 

'yah but NOT as bad as we thought they would be'

BOOM! if that happens. Stocks going higher. 

Of course they could dump if anything un-forseen should happen but not based on what is currently unfolding before our eyes. 

The experts and pundits are all warning us to be careful, go slow, conserve some cash. Meanwhile, they are all buying the market. Big Wall St. banks are all buying. None announce they are selling and sitting this rally out. They say one thing and do another. This is how they manipulate and play the market. It's their game.

The Fed is buying the market and giving cash to the big banks. That is another reason the market is going higher. The Fed has their own trading desk.

Crude Oil

It's also been going higher which boosts the financial sector. This market will continue to get bid up and push the stock market higher.

How? Well most investors on FB and Twitter are bears right now. Full of doom and gloom. The crowd is usually wrong, aren't they? When you have a lot of bears and just a few bulls then PROBABLY the market goes higher.

Headline News

Also driving the market higher. Do you think the President during an election year wants a lower market? Of course not. That's why there is lots of talk about a vaccine. Futures lower pre-market followed by vaccine announcement, stocks reverse course and head higher. That happened Friday. Listen to the headlines and use it to your advantage. 

The Fed is in the process of multiplying it's balance sheet multiple times higher. It's not even close to being done. Go to their website and have a look. 

They have no intention of stopping asset purchases or issuing more debt instruments. This is stock market POSITIVE!

Hold Hard Assets

At least while the Fed continues to inflate this market. I hold gold stocks, physical silver and if I was smart enough and knew more I'd buy some crypto currency like BTC. I don't hold any at the moment but I'm getting close to making a small investment.

I posted what I own yesterday in My Gold, Silver and Oil Insurance Policy

Why would anyone buy the most expensive asset like bonds in this environment? Pfft and not for me. I would rather hold gold and silver while they are going up and heading higher from here.

Silver I believe is still the most undervalued asset on the planet right now. Just my opinion and you can have your own, that's OK.

Final Take 

The Fed is out there lending money and buying assets. It's not going to stop anytime soon. It is doing it's job and inflating this market to historic levels. No President is going to stop it. The Fed is in control of the GLOBAL market.

Whoever controls the cash, controls the world!

What do you believe? Are stocks going higher or are we going to crash?

Saturday, July 11, 2020

My Gold, Silver and Oil insurance Policy


Physical gold is a little expensive for me to buy so I stick to just trying to accumulate silver. Relative to gold it's cheap, so I buy some when I have the money.

I spent $3800 yesterday on;

100 Silver Dollars
100 Half Dollars
164 Quarters
504 Dimes

All Canadian Junk Silver

As they say they're not making it anymore so buy some. You know like real estate in desirable areas.

It's just a belief system I have that with all the money printing silver and gold are going higher. These are just a 24-36 month hold for me. Lots of angst and fear out there to warrant buying an insurance policy for your portfolio. This is mine.

Of course junk silver is not your only choice. Pure bullion is also good. I own 225 Cdn Silver Maples which are now selling for $32 depending on the day and what dealer you use. I've purchased some as low as $24.

So that portion in today's market is worth 225 X 32 = $7200

I own various lots of American Junk silver in quarters and dimes. I stay away from their bigger stuff or dollars. Their silver eagles are the most over priced coins on the market @ over $35.
.
I'm at least close to $20K invested in physical silver.

Gold Stocks

I own the following positions;

Argonaut Gold
Alacer Gold
Abitibi Royalties
B2 Gold
Dundee Precious
Eldorado
Equinox
First Majestic
Fortuna Silver
Great Panther
McEwen Mining
Novagold Resources
Nighthawk Gold
Pretium Resources
Roxgold
Americas Gold and Silver
Wesdome Mining

I prefer to hold and own my gold inside mid-tier mining companies. Most of these positions were accumulated during the March/April time frame.

NHK.TO is my only holding in the red. It is very volatile.

With physical silver and gold stocks I have about $180K invested in this sector. Yes big commitment but as I like to say buy when it's cheap and you have the money. Sell when it's expensive or you need the money.

Speaking of cheap. Did you buy any oil stocks when the price of crude went negative? Why not? That is when they were the cheapest in years. Even year to date they have lots of room to run.

My Oil Stocks

Enerplus
Ensign Energy Services
Freehold Royalties
Horizon North Logistics
Nuvista
Torc Oil and Gas
Vermilion
Whitecap Resources

VET is still in the red. I invested $40K in this sector. Should have loaded up more as demand picks up and supply stocks start to draw down. Oil tankers are starting to be emptied as we slowly get back to balance.

You can also look at ARX, CPG, BIR, GTE, TVE and the list goes on.

Update

I have not sold one single stock in my DG retirement portfolio. Only adding to banks, utilities and pipelines.

The stocks listed above are not buy recommendations, just what I hold short term.

Try to stay positive and look for opportunities during covid where assets are cheap.

I didn't stock up on TP, flour or yeast. I bought silver and cheap oil stocks with a sprinkling of gold stocks. Things I can sell quickly if need be.

How about you? Do you own any gold and silver in any form. If so what and if not, why not? Curious on your thoughts.

What do you think of my new insurance policy?